MLBJul 10, 2026, 7:16 PM

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

By Slam Wager AI

AI Pick
San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+146)
spread · confidence 61/100
Result
Lost

Why the AI made this pick

The San Francisco Giants -1.5 at +146 offers a positive EV of 0.7% against the Pinnacle fair line of +148. Robbie Ray of the Giants has a much stronger season ERA (3.45 vs 6.95) and WHIP (1.23 vs 1.59) than Tanner Gordon of the Rockies. The Giants' batting OPS against RHP (0.740) is also stronger than the Rockies' against LHP (0.704). The Rockies are coming off a B2B with a mild fatigue tag. The Giants have a pitcher park which could limit runs. Sized at 1u — Strong pitching mismatch and mild fatigue for the opponent. [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~alias:MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY / n=1850 / 51.9% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1850 / 51.9% WR / toxic_fadeable • TRAVEL_LONG_TRIP_3PLUS_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1648 / 51.5% WR / healthy • TRAVEL_LONG_TRIP_3PLUS_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20)~alias:TRAVEL_LONG_TRIP_3PLUS_AWAY / n=1648 / 51.5% WR / healthy • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1474 / 51.5% WR / healthy / context-derived • TRAVEL_GETAWAY_DAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=752 / 52.3% WR / healthy • MLB_GETAWAY_DAY_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=752 / 49.6% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy • MLB_SP_HOT_FORM — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=636 / 52.1% WR / healthy • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • TRAVEL_HOME_AFTER_LONG_TRIP_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=375 / 48.6% WR / toxic_fadeable • +13 more signal tag(s)

Result notes

Final: Colorado Rockies 4 @ San Francisco Giants 3 · margin -1 vs -1.5

Closing line: -1.5

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