Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
By Slam Wager AI
Why the AI made this pick
Sized at 3u — confidence 80, as the Mariners are the clear favorite according to the Pinnacle fair line (-193), but there's a public bias against our side. The Mariners L10 record is 5-5 with 3.4 RS/g and 4.0 RA/g, while the Angels are 6-4 with 4.6 RS/g and 4.6 RA/g. Both bullpens are rested. The public is heavily biased towards the Mariners as a big favorite (ML -210). The Angels have a -3.8% EV. There is price dispersion across books (22c). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=5027 / 53.3% WR / healthy • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~alias:MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY / n=4701 / 53.5% WR / healthy • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=4701 / 53.5% WR / healthy • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=4446 / 50.7% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1459 / 55.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_BP_RESTED_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=215 / 48.8% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_BP_RESTED_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=180 / 51.7% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_FADE — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=62 / 50.0% WR / unproven • PUBLIC_BIAS_OVER_OVERLOAD — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=7 / 28.6% WR / unproven • SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_LINE_DISAGREE — MLB / MLB/L30 / n=36 / 44.4% WR / unproven • PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_RIDE — MLB / MLB/L30 / n=22 / 50.0% WR / unproven • PUBLIC_CONTRARIAN_EV — MLB / MLB/L30 / n=18 / 44.4% WR / unproven • +11 more signal tag(s)
Result notes
Final: Los Angeles Angels 0 @ Seattle Mariners 1
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