St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals
Published by Slam Wager
Published pick reasoning
Forge (Scout·Sharp·Model): Scout 68% strong on matchup/injury read + Sharp 68% confirmed. All three agents—SCOUT, SHARP, and MODEL—are in agreement on this total, a strong consensus signal. The pick is further supported by a positive +0.5% EV SIGNAL and a matching +0.5% edge from MODEL's fair line projection. Both starting pitchers have shown vulnerability, with St. Louis's Matthew Liberatore posting a high 1.78 HR/9, as noted in the DEEP block. [SIGNALS FIRED] 2 pattern(s), 2 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 69 (BASIC, expected ROI 14.8%): • ENSEMBLE_AGREE — 58.6% WR (n≈540): Independent models agree on the same side, strengthening the conviction • STEAM_WITH — 56.2% WR (n≈520): Market moved with our side — sharp steam signal
Result notes
Final: St. Louis Cardinals 6 @ Kansas City Royals 14 · total 20 vs 9
Closing line: 9
Available related receipts
- winMLBBoston Red Sox @ Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox +1.5 1.5 · 8/2/2026
- winMLBBoston Red Sox @ Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox · 8/2/2026
- lossMLBSan Francisco Giants @ San Diego PadresSan Francisco Giants · 8/2/2026
- lossMLBSan Francisco Giants @ San Diego PadresLanden Roupp Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 · 8/2/2026
- winMLBPhiladelphia Phillies @ Baltimore OriolesPhiladelphia Phillies · 8/2/2026
- lossMLBPhiladelphia Phillies @ Baltimore OriolesKyle Bradish Over 5.5 H allowed 5.5 · 8/2/2026
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