MLBJul 2, 2026, 5:06 PM

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

By Slam Wager AI

AI Pick
Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+175)
spread · confidence 81/100
Result
Lost

Why the AI made this pick

Numbers-first live pick: side locked by best positive market edge before AI narration. EV unavailable; using market-dislocation signals. Best available price +175 @ BetRivers. Pinnacle fair: Detroit Tigers +1.5 -191 (65.6%) / Texas Rangers -1.5 +191 (34.4%). EV board: Detroit Tigers +1.5: -4.6% (best -220 @ Bovada) | Texas Rangers -1.5: -3.7% (best +180 @ Bovada). Sharp/public: SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_SPREAD: Pinnacle 1.5 vs public median -1.5 on Detroit Tigers (Δ+3pt — sharps disagree with public longer) || SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_SPREAD: Pinnacle -1.5 vs public median 1.5 on Texas Rangers (Δ-3pt — sharps disagree with public shorter). Market signals: STEAM: 6 books range 3pts (median 1.5) || BOOK_DISAGREEMENT_HIGH: line spread 3pts across US books || PRICE_DISPERSION: 415c spread across US books (volatility, not edge). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=4446 / 50.7% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_PARK_HITTER_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1464 / 53.2% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_BP_RESTED_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=215 / 48.8% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_BP_RESTED_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=180 / 51.7% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • LINE_DISPERSION_SOFT — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=75 / 49.3% WR / unproven • PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_FADE — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=62 / 50.0% WR / unproven • STEAM_WITH — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=46 / 56.5% WR / unproven • STEAM_STALLED — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=38 / 55.3% WR / unproven • PUBLIC_BIAS_OVER_OVERLOAD — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=7 / 28.6% WR / unproven • SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_LINE_DISAGREE — MLB / MLB/L30 / n=36 / 44.4% WR / unproven • PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_RIDE — MLB / MLB/L30 / n=22 / 50.0% WR / unproven • PUBLIC_CONTRARIAN_EV — MLB / MLB/L30 / n=18 / 44.4% WR / unproven • +11 more signal tag(s)

Result notes

Final: Detroit Tigers 4 @ Texas Rangers 10 · margin -6 vs -1.5

Closing line: 1.5

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