NCAAF AI picks against the spread and totals with SP+, FEI, and recruiting-adjusted projections. Every settled college football pick is publicly tracked.
College football has enormous talent gaps between programs, so the model blends SP+ and FEI-style efficiency ratings with a recruiting-class talent baseline that protects against overreaction to a single blowout. We pay close attention to coaching turnover (new offensive coordinators are one of the most consistent over/under fades through October), trap-game spots before a rivalry week, and the noon-kickoff penalty for west-coast teams traveling east. The model leans heavily on first-half lines for lopsided matchups where the favorite's depth chart drops off after the starters come out.